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Is France safe in 2015?

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Is France a safe place to visit in 2015

The French government has setup a hotline for tourists in Paris: 0800 406 005 ( From outside France +33 1 45 50 34 60)


After the Paris terror attacks, is it still safe to visit France ?

November 16 th 2015.

Reports put the death toll from Friday's murderous attacks at 129 people, most of them young people out enjoying a Friday night in Paris.
 This is the worst terror attack in Europe since the Madrid train bombings of 2004.

Public buildings remained closed in Pari over the weekend, and many events scheduled in the coming week have been cancelled.

   However, Paris airports and public transport are working normally.

   The Eiffel Tower reopened for business on Monday, at 4 p.m.

Security has been heightened throughout France for the forseeable future as President Hollande declares war on Isis and asks parliament to extend the national state of emergency for three months.

While one death is one too many, it is important to see things in perspective.


  Update November 14th : The paragraphs below were written in January 2015. After the Paris bombings of November 13th, of the 32,000 districts in France, the  number that have seen an act of terror in 2015 stands at six - three of them within Paris, two close to Paris, and one failed attack on a train from Amsterdam to Paris.  The likelihood of getting caught up in a terror attack in France remains far lower than the likelihood of getting killed in a traffic accident, in France or any other country.

In spite of the alarmist warnings about Paris, there can only be one answer to this question, and that is a resounding YES. France is safe, and generally speaking Paris is safe. And unless some general international terror campaign should break out in the coming weeks and months, France will remain a safe place to visit. It is very important to see things in perspective.
  There are some 32000 districts, known as communes, in France. If ten of these are the theatre of a terrorist atrocity in 2015, that will be a lot.

For about 31,800 of these communes, the risk of a terror outrage is nil: for some 200 sensitive or symbolic communes there is a risk that someone or some people will plan an attack, which is why the terror alert in France, as in many other countries, is currently on "high". But the risk of any of these planned outrages actually succeeding has to remain low. Some will; most won't.
  It is very likely that there will be one or more terrorist attacks in France in the months ahead. It is highly unlikely that you, the potential tourist reading this page, will get caught up in it.

  The next terrorist attack, when it comes, may be again in Paris; but it is just as likely to be in London, or Manchester, or New York, or Los Angeles, or Berlin, or Madrid, or Sydney, or Copenhagen... not to mention Bombay or Karachi. And it might be somewhere else in France - Lyon or Marseille or Toulouse, just as it could be in Lisbon or Stockholm or Edinburgh or Munich or Innsbruck. It could be at a major world airport, or on a train somewhere. No-one knows.

   On the other hand some things are certain. Terrorists are unlikely to target a holiday resort frequented largely by tourists, be they French or foreign; and they are unlikely to target any rural location. There would be no symbolic value in either of these. Paris has to be a  prime target, because it is symbolic; but there is such tight security in and around the French capital that it may not be a target. And in any event, even in Paris, the likelihood of you, the tourist, actually being in the wrong place at the wrong time, is minuscule.
   Statistically, you are much more likely to be the victim of a road accident at home (as a driver or passenger or pedestrian) than the victim of a terror attack while on holiday in France. You are even actually more likely to be the victim of accidental poisoning in your home country, than victim of a terror attack while on holiday in France. It is very important to see things in proportion, and not get carried away by ungrounded anxieties.
   So to the question; is it safe to visit France in 2015 or 2016, the answer again is yes. Even if, instead of coming for a week or two to France, you decided to stay in your own home, or venture to some remote spot far from any terrorist's wildest dreams, you could still be victim of an accident. Absolute safety doesn't exist.
   A terrorist attack is just one among dozens of misadventures that could befall a tourist while on holiday anywhere; and an unlikely one at that. And compared to other places in the world, France in 2015 remains a pretty good place to be, in terms of relative safety.
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